GUEST COLUMN: Harry K. Thomas
Zimbabwe, a land of unparalleled beauty and infinite potential, is again under democratic and economic siege. Armed men are removing residents from their homes. Unknown assailants have burnt the headquarters of the leading opposition party, the Movement for Democratic Change.
Supermarkets are struggling to stay open and cannot refill their shelves. Medicine is scarce. Zimbabweans can fill up with fuel only if they are willing to wait in miles-long queues or are lucky enough to have friends with connections.
The government often shuts down the internet, denying people access social media. Many Zimbabweans fear another military takeover. Southern Africa’s stability is at risk as impoverished citizens flee.
In an act reminiscent of the treatment of Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr. in the United States in the 1960s, the human rights activist, Pastor Evan Mawarire, has been unjustly jailed for calling for a non-violent strike, a basic human right which is legal under Zimbabwe’s Constitution.
These developments contrast with the euphoria and hope I witnessed as the U.S. ambassador to Zimbabwe in November 2017, when former president Robert Mugabe resigned after ruling for 37 years.
Zimbabweans are savvy. They knew that the military forced Mugabe out to protect themselves, but placed hope in President Emmerson Mnangagwa’s pledge to hold free and fair elections and rebuild the moribund economy. They held this hope despite his history of human rights violations, particularly the “Gukurahundi” genocide of the 1980s that claimed the lives of thousands of Ndebele people in southern and western Zimbabwe.
In August 2018, Mnangagwa was returned to office for a full five-year term in an election whose outcome the Zimbabwean and international human rights community question. The post-election violence that led to the shootings of six people marred the results, although a commission led by former South African president Kgalema Motlanthe blamed the military, largely cleared government leaders and declared the polls free and fair.
Many Zimbabweans, eager to have their economy rebound and provide much needed jobs, welcomed the stability which they hoped Mnangagwa, the military and newly-appointed financial advisors could provide. This faith was coupled with a near-unanimous call for the removal of targeted sanctions imposed by Britain and the U.S., the latter under the Zimbabwe Democracy and Economic Recovery Act of 2001 (Zidera).
But Mnangagwa and his advisors, including Central Bank Governor John Mangudya, have failed to institute much-needed reforms. Despite their marketing slogan “Zimbabwe is open for business”, they have not stemmed the crony capitalism that has prevented local and international business people from investing. And even if sanctions were lifted, Zimbabwe remains in arrears to the World Bank. How can anyone expect new funding if previous loans remain unpaid and ignored?
The government’s financial advisors have stubbornly pegged Zimbabwean currency, known as “Bond Notes”, at 1 to 1 to the U.S. dollar and they have manipulated Real Time Gross Settlement (RTGS), which allows for interbank electronic transfer. The consequences are that local bank transfers have turned into currency. Zimbabweans utilize RTGS to access mobile money.
The resulting challenge is that Zimbabwe now has multiple currencies with different values, and importers must purchase goods with scarce hard currency but accept payment in one of the nation’s electronic soft currencies. Hence shortages abound.
A doomed plan?
Finance Minister Mthuli Ncube, a technocrat, has instituted austerity measures, limited allowances for cabinet officials and even reduced their government-allocated vehicles from five to three. He has assiduously worked with European bankers to secure new funding for Zimbabwe and is seeking a new round of World Bank, IMF and U.S. Treasury meetings in Washington.
But the government’s violent reactions to peaceful protest will setback his initiatives, and unless and until the politicians and their cronies who benefit from corruption are brought to book and Mnangagwa introduces legislative reforms, Ncube’s well-intentioned efforts are doomed.
The international community is right to be wary of Zimbabwe’s political leadership. But the United States must not give up on Zimbabwe and its talented people. The U.S. remains the leading bilateral and multilateral donor. Our current assistance combating HIV-Aids and cholera is successful, as have been past efforts to build educational institutions that have produced countless scholars.
What Mnangagwa needs to do
We must work with the international community to help Zimbabwe implement meaningful reforms that will attract investment. At the same time, Zimbabwe’s government must become a willing partner. It needs to work with international financial institutions, the Southern African Development Community (SADC), the African Union (AU) and the United Nations to begin the long and arduous road to recovery.
President Mnangagwa must live up to his promised “radical economic reforms” and bring laws in line with the Constitution – including the Public Order and Security Act and the Access to Information and Protection of Privacy Act that limits press freedom. He must implement meaningful land reform, including giving black farmers title to their land. And he must free Pastor Mawarire and re-open access to social media.
He should also send Finance Minister Ncube to the AU, SADC, Pretoria, London and Washington with a detailed plan to resurrect the economy.
In Washington, Ncube should meet U.S. Senators Chris Coons (D-Del.) and Cory Booker (D-N.J.), both members of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee who have recently expressed their concern for Zimbabwe, and explain to them his agenda. He should also seek the guidance of former Senator Jeff Flake of Arizona, an independent-thinking follower of events in Zimbabwe.
Then President Mnangagwa needs to follow through on his pledges to prevent chaos and to promote progress and democracy.
Harry Thomas served as U.S. ambassador to Zimbabwe from 2015 to 2018